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  4. 2025
  5. VOL 47, NO 3 (2025)
  6. pp. 96-103

Synergistic Foundations of a Resilient National Energy System: a Complex Systems Approach

V. Mokhor, Corresponding Member of the NAS of Ukraine,
F. Korobeynikov, PhD in Information Security
G.E. Pukhov Institute for Energy Problems of the NAS of Ukraine
15 Oleh Mudrak str., Kyiv, 03164, Ukraine
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Èlektron. model. 2025, 47(3)96-103

https://doi.org/10.15407/emodel.47.03.096

ABSTRACT

The current paradigm of national energy security, based on risk analysis, is conceptually flawed and practically ineffective in the current conditions of globalization and growing uncertainty. Based on the science of complexity, synergetics, and self-organization theory, the necessity of transition from a strategy of predictable protection to a strategy of adaptive security is substantiated. An approach to building a resilient energy infrastructure based on the identification of system invariants and the targeted stimulation of emergent properties inherent in complex systems is proposed: self-organization, autopoiesis, and adaptive variability. Drawing on the example of Ukraine, the feasibility of forming a national program to ensure the adaptive resilience of the energy system is considered, combining massive decentralized local generation, economic incentives to boost resilience, and strategic technology transfer. It is also considered how the synergistic approach can be used to develop high-performance data centers, artificial intelligence infrastructure, and advanced research institutes, turning excess energy into a driving force for national intellectual and economic growth.

KEYWORDS

resilience, national energy systems, complexity science, synergetics, adaptive security, self-organization, autopoiesis, strategic foresight, distributed generation, entropic governance.

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